Skip to main content

Funding Reductions Could Reverse Progress in HIV Response

Medically reviewed by Carmen Pope, BPharm. Last updated on March 27, 2025.

By Elana Gotkine HealthDay Reporter

THURSDAY, March 27, 2025 -- Funding reductions could reverse progress in the HIV response by 2030, with the greatest effects anticipated in countries with a higher percentage of international funding and with increasing incidence of HIV, according to a study published online March 26 in The Lancet HIV.

Debra ten Brink, M.D., from the Burnet Institute in Australia, and colleagues used 26 country-validated Optima HIV models to examine the potential impact of funding reductions on HIV incidence and mortality through mathematical modeling. HIV incidence and mortality were projected across 2025 to 2030 for a status quo scenario (continuation of most recent HIV spending) and four additional scenarios reflecting anticipated international aid reductions for HIV prevention and testing plus additional effects from immediate discontinuation of the President's Emergency Fund for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) support.

The researchers found that an anticipated 24 percent weighted average of international aid reductions plus discontinued PEPFAR support could result in an additional 4.43 to 10.75 million new HIV infections and 0.77 to 2.93 million HIV-related deaths from 2025 to 2030 (compared with the status quo) across all low-income and middle-income countries. These numbers reduced to 0.07 to 1.73 million additional new HIV infections and 0.005 to 0.061 million HIV-related deaths if PEPFAR support could be reinstated or recovered. Countries with a higher percentage of international funding had the greatest effects, as did those with an increasing incidence of HIV among key populations.

"The temporary suspension of U.S. Government support combined with other anticipated reductions in international aid for HIV presents an inflection point, compelling the global health community to reassess sustainable financing strategies of the HIV response," the authors write.

Abstract/Full Text (subscription or payment may be required)

Editorial (subscription or payment may be required)

Disclaimer: Statistical data in medical articles provide general trends and do not pertain to individuals. Individual factors can vary greatly. Always seek personalized medical advice for individual healthcare decisions.

© 2025 HealthDay. All rights reserved.

Read this next

Swept-Source Anterior Segment OCT Can Help Distinguish Early Childhood Glaucoma

FRIDAY, May 23, 2025 -- The noninvasive swept-source anterior-segment optical coherence tomography (SS-ASOCT) can diagnose early-onset childhood glaucoma, according to a study...

Semaglutide Plus Intensive Behavioral Therapy Most Beneficial for Weight Loss

FRIDAY, May 23, 2025 -- Weight loss treatment combining personalized semaglutide with intensive behavioral therapy (IBT) yields weight loss similar to that reported in...

Higher Social Media Use Tied to Subsequent Depressive Symptoms in Youth

FRIDAY, May 23, 2025 -- Higher social media use is associated with greater subsequent depressive symptoms in children and adolescents, according to a study published online May 21...

More news resources

Subscribe to our newsletter

Whatever your topic of interest, subscribe to our newsletters to get the best of Drugs.com in your inbox.